Energie Cottbus 1-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.18
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.0
X/1
18%
5.49
X/2
9%
6.43
X/X
13%
5.14
2/1 EV+
7%
24.45
2/2
14%
3.98
2/X
6%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
41%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.11/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.33
+39% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
227 Passes 196
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
07.02.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
11.08.2013 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-2 HT 2-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
12.05.2013 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 3-0 HT 2-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
28.11.2012 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
20.08.2012 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-0 HT 2-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
1-1
AWAY Sandhausen
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus and Sandhausen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Energie Cottbus at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 50% of the ball to Sandhausen's 50%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sandhausen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.80 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Sandhausen?

Energie Cottbus 1-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 48%, draw 24%, Sandhausen 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Energie Cottbus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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