Hansa Rostock 1-2 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.81
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
12%
4.47
X/2
8%
7.11
X/X
15%
4.43
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
5.39
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.57/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.98
-3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.6 Crosses 31.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
20.10.2012 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-0 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
19.02.2012 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
19.08.2011 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
04.04.2010 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
09.11.2009 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
06.02.2009 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-3 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
1-2
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen squeezed past Hansa Rostock 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hansa Rostock at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 59% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 41%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hansa Rostock and 0.67 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Alemannia Aachen?

Hansa Rostock 1-2 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 47%, draw 29%, Alemannia Aachen 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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