Viktoria Köln 3-5 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.13
1/2 EV+
8%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
12%
5.21
X/2
11%
6.5
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
18%
4.27
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.57/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.54
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses 23.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-3 HT 1-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
16.09.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
07.05.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
08.11.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
02.04.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
24.10.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
3-5
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II beat Viktoria Köln 5-3 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Borussia Dortmund II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 62% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 38%, shots finished 15-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.33 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Viktoria Köln 3-5 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 36%, draw 27%, Borussia Dortmund II 37%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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