Ingolstadt 1-1 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 19 Oct 2024

Ingolstadt
1-1 HT 0-1
Verl
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Ingolstadt vs Verl Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.98
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.13
X/2
9%
6.52
X/X
13%
5.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.15
2/2
12%
4.16
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Verl — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.29/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
+0% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 83%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.1 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Ingolstadt vs Verl Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Verl
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
14.10.2023 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 2-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
29.04.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-1 HT 2-0 Verl Verl AL3
05.11.2022 Verl Verl 2-1 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
17.03.2021 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
17.10.2020 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3

Ingolstadt 1-1 Verl — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-1
AWAY Verl
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
357 Passes 420
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt and Verl couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 48% of the ball to Verl's 52%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.33 for Verl.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Verl?

Ingolstadt 1-1 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 42%, draw 30%, Verl 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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