Hamburg II 2-1 Holstein Kiel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.51
Over Pick
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
34%
4-5
24%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
51%
-13.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel II The Market 29%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +30%
2.50/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.60
+38% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-3 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
19.08.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 4-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-2 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
31.07.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 4-0 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
29.11.2021 Hamburg II Hamburg II 0-3 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
12.09.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 3-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Holstein Kiel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II squeezed past Holstein Kiel II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Hamburg II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hamburg II and 2.50 for Holstein Kiel II.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Holstein Kiel II?

Hamburg II 2-1 Holstein Kiel II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Holstein Kiel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 37%, draw 28%, Holstein Kiel II 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
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