Hessen Kassel 2-4 Hoffenheim II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
18%
3.72
Away Pick
64%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.15
Over
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Hoffenheim II win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
18%
Home Win
22%
-3.7pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.6pp
64%
Away Win
55%
+9.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim II The Market 59%
+31% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.51/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.23
+31% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hessen Kassel
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hoffenheim II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
03.09.2023 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 2-1 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
07.03.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 2-0 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
20.03.2022 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
28.09.2021 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 2-0 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs Hoffenheim II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim II saw off Hessen Kassel 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hoffenheim II as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hessen Kassel and 1.17 for Hoffenheim II.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs Hoffenheim II?

Hessen Kassel 2-4 Hoffenheim II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs Hoffenheim II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 18%, draw 18%, Hoffenheim II 64%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
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