Club Brugge II 3-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.97
Over 2.5
38%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.63
No
59%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 33% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
36%
+8.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
47%
+15.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
53%
-15.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
57%
-16.1pp
59%
BTTS No
43%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 40%
+25% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.58
+42% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
15.5 Crosses 23.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
351 Passes 346
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 HT 2-0 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
12.08.2023 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 3-2 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
08.04.2023 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 0-1 HT 0-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
01.04.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
01.02.2023 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 1-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
21.08.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 HT 2-1 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge II
3-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Club Brugge II vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge II saw off Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Brugge II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Brugge II had 52% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 48%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Brugge II and 1.67 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Club Brugge II vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Club Brugge II 3-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge II vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge II 45%, draw 23%, Lierse Kempenzonen 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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