Deinze 1-0 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.05
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deinze EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.60/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.58
+26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.2 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deinze
3W-1D-2L
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
356 Passes 373
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 3-2 HT 1-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
20.10.2023 Deinze Deinze 3-2 HT 2-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
06.05.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-2 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
25.02.2023 Deinze Deinze 1-3 HT 0-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
12.11.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
19.08.2022 Deinze Deinze 3-2 HT 1-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deinze
1-0
AWAY KRC Genk II
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Deinze vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deinze squeezed past KRC Genk II 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deinze as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deinze had 57% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 43%, shots finished 20-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deinze had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deinze and 1.67 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Deinze vs KRC Genk II?

Deinze 1-0 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deinze vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deinze 43%, draw 26%, KRC Genk II 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deinze) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deinze) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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