Botafogo 1-1 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 19 Oct 2024

Botafogo
1-1 HT 0-0
Criciuma
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Botafogo vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 29% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.9
X/1
20%
3.42
X/2
7%
16.3
X/X
8%
6.84
2/1
14%
22.7
2/2
8%
13.25
2/X
8%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.0pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.65/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.65
-3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
27.8 Crosses 13.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Botafogo vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Criciuma
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.71 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
286 Passes 313
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.06.2024 Criciuma Criciuma 2-1 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
07.11.2015 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR2
29.07.2015 Botafogo Botafogo 0-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
21.09.2014 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
11.05.2014 Botafogo Botafogo 6-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
08.12.2013 Botafogo Botafogo 3-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1

Botafogo 1-1 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
1-1
AWAY Criciuma
74% Ball Possession 26%
25 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
603 Passes 172
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo and Criciuma shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Botafogo carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Botafogo had 74% of the ball to Criciuma's 26%, shots finished 25-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Botafogo and 0.67 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Criciuma?

Botafogo 1-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 57%, draw 22%, Criciuma 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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