Vitoria 1-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 19 Oct 2024

Vitoria
1-0
Bragantino
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Vitoria vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.11
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.54
X/2
10%
6.6
X/X
16%
3.85
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
9%
5.28
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitoria v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -20%
1.33/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.28
-34% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.6 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Vitoria vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bragantino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.52 xG 1.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
274 Passes 447
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.06.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
29.09.2019 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
01.06.2019 Vitoria Vitoria 0-2 HT 0-2 Bragantino BR2
02.09.2015 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
23.05.2015 Vitoria Vitoria 4-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR2
03.11.2012 Bragantino 3-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria edged past Bragantino 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vitoria as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria and 2.00 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Bragantino?

Vitoria 1-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 45%, draw 27%, Bragantino 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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