Incheon United 1-2 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 Oct 2024

Incheon United
1-2 HT 0-0
Jeju United
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Incheon United vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 35% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.58
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
12.0
X/1
17%
5.43
X/2
13%
6.17
X/X
16%
3.89
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.32
2/X
10%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.3pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.20/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/3.22
+53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Incheon United vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jeju United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
419 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
26.06.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
06.04.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
16.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.05.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
12.03.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Incheon United 1-2 Jeju United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-2
AWAY Jeju United
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 2
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United nicked a narrow win over Incheon United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 36% / 32%) promised a tight game; Jeju United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Incheon United and 0.83 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Jeju United?

Incheon United 1-2 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 32%, draw 36%, Jeju United 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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