BFC Daugavpils 0-5 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
6%
+14.2pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.9pp
61%
Away Win
80%
-19.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 84%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
0.64/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.06/0.73
-27% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +33%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
185 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 76%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 48.3
11.6 Crosses 31.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Riga FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.34 xG 2.37
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
153 Passes 419
61% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
24.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
12.04.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
21.10.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
30.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
08.05.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0-5
AWAY Riga FC
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 9
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC ran out comfortable winners over BFC Daugavpils 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 34% of the ball to Riga FC's 66%, shots finished 10-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.83 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?

BFC Daugavpils 0-5 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 20%, draw 19%, Riga FC 61%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →