Grorud IL 3-1 Valerenga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
Over Pick
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
14%
28.5
2-3
27%
4.45
4-5
38%
2.48
6+
21%
1.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
68%
Home Win
85%
-17.1pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.5pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grorud IL The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga II The Market 9%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
3.47/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/3.95
+21% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grorud IL
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Valerenga II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Valerenga II Valerenga II 1-5 HT 0-2 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
04.09.2023 Valerenga II Valerenga II 1-0 HT 1-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
10.07.2023 Grorud IL Grorud IL 4-1 HT 3-1 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
04.05.2015 Valerenga II Valerenga II 1-2 HT 1-1 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grorud IL
3-1
AWAY Valerenga II
71% Ball Possession 29%
26 Total Shots 1
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grorud IL vs Valerenga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grorud IL saw off Valerenga II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Grorud IL as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%) came in.

On the day, Grorud IL had 71% of the ball to Valerenga II's 29%, shots finished 26-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Grorud IL had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Grorud IL and 1.00 for Valerenga II.

What was the final score of Grorud IL vs Valerenga II?

Grorud IL 3-1 Valerenga II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grorud IL vs Valerenga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grorud IL win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Grorud IL 68%, draw 18%, Valerenga II 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grorud IL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grorud IL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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