Bandırmaspor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.87
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.51
X/2
13%
5.55
X/X
8%
4.05
2/1
11%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.9
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.11/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.19
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.4 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 5
30.10.2019 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 HT 2-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor TÜK
11.11.2018 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-K
08.04.2018 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2-B
24.09.2014 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-2 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-0
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
269 Passes 313
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor edged past Fatih Karagümrük 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Bandırmaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 48% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 52%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.75 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Bandırmaspor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 38%, draw 26%, Fatih Karagümrük 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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