Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.84
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 37% vs market 34.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.83
X/2
17%
5.77
X/X
14%
3.88
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
13%
4.53
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.42/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.76
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.7 Crosses 11.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Amed SK
5.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
08.01.2017 Amed SK Amed SK 0-5 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TÜK
29.12.2016 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 6-0 HT 3-0 Amed SK Amed SK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-1
AWAY Amed SK
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
426 Passes 230
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği and Amed SK shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 62% of the ball to Amed SK's 38%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 0.00 for Amed SK.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Amed SK?

Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 36%, draw 30%, Amed SK 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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