Adanaspor 1-4 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

Adanaspor
1-4 HT 0-2
Şanlıurfaspor
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Adanaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.83
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.75
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
17%
5.53
X/2
16%
5.69
X/X
10%
4.19
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.91
2/X
11%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adanaspor v Şanlıurfaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.25/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.10
+20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.9 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Adanaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.23 xG 1.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
230 Passes 354
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
19.08.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
03.09.2016 Adanaspor Adanaspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor HAZ
17.01.2016 Adanaspor Adanaspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
16.08.2015 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
01.02.2015 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L

Adanaspor 1-4 Şanlıurfaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
1-4
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
0.60 xG 1.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
451 Passes 222
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor swept aside Adanaspor 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Şanlıurfaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adanaspor had 64% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 36%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.60 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adanaspor and 1.50 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Adanaspor 1-4 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adanaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 36%, draw 28%, Şanlıurfaspor 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Bandırmaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →
00:00 Gençlerbirliği vs Amed SK Analysis →
19:00 Kocaelispor vs Ümraniyespor Analysis →