Conquense 1-1 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.06/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.97
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Conquense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Navalcarnero
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
09.02.2025 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 2-0 HT 2-0 Conquense Conquense İS4
29.09.2024 Conquense Conquense 1-0 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
POST-MATCH Conquense vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense and Navalcarnero shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Conquense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Conquense and 1.00 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of Conquense vs Navalcarnero?

Conquense 1-1 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Conquense 43%, draw 25%, Navalcarnero 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Conquense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Conquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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