Xerez Deportivo 1-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.6pp
27%
Draw
33%
-5.6pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +1%
0.95/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.99
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez Deportivo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Aguilas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2025 Xerez Deportivo 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
29.09.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
1-1
AWAY CD Aguilas
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo and CD Aguilas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez Deportivo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 55% of the ball to CD Aguilas's 45%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CD Aguilas led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Xerez Deportivo and 0.50 for CD Aguilas.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs CD Aguilas?

Xerez Deportivo 1-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 41%, draw 27%, CD Aguilas 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Xerez Deportivo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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