Xerez Deportivo 0-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
38%
2.63
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
25%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
38%
Draw
34%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.8pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.88/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.97
-21% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez Deportivo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Aguilas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas edged past Xerez Deportivo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 38% / 28%) promised a tight game; CD Aguilas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs CD Aguilas?

Xerez Deportivo 0-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 34%, draw 38%, CD Aguilas 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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