Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.5pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.57/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.16
+62% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
207 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 84%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.5 Crosses 20.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
3W-0D-1L
AWAY RFC Liege
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.70 xG 1.74
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
360 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2025 RFC Liege RFC Liege 2-1 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
06.12.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 HT 1-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
16.03.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
12.11.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 2-4 HT 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
1-2
AWAY RFC Liege
1.62 xG 1.29
66% Ball Possession 34%
29 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
394 Passes 175
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 10
44 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege nicked a narrow win over Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 19% / 43%) promised a tight game; RFC Liege found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 66% of the ball to RFC Liege's 34%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 1.62 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 1.75 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Liege?

Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated an RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 38%, draw 19%, RFC Liege 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Liege) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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