EPS 5-1 Atlantis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 19 Oct 2025

EPS
5-1 HT 1-1
Atlantis
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.33
No
29%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
10.05
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
39%
2.57
4-5 Goals
33%
2.23
6+ Goals
15%
3.07
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.57 — our 39% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.7pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.7pp
71%
BTTS Yes
71%
-0.4pp
29%
BTTS No
29%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlantis EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.26/4.73
+18% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -52%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
417 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EPS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atlantis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.07.2025 EPS EPS 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlantis Atlantis FİN3
20.04.2025 Atlantis Atlantis 0-2 HT 0-0 EPS EPS FİN3
12.07.2024 Atlantis Atlantis 1-1 HT 0-0 EPS EPS FİN3
04.05.2024 EPS EPS 0-1 HT 0-1 Atlantis Atlantis FİN2
29.09.2023 Atlantis Atlantis 0-1 HT 0-0 EPS EPS FİNKAK
21.06.2023 EPS EPS 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlantis Atlantis FİNKAK
POST-MATCH EPS vs Atlantis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EPS swept aside Atlantis 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had EPS as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, EPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EPS and 0.50 for Atlantis.

What was the final score of EPS vs Atlantis?

EPS 5-1 Atlantis in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs Atlantis?

Before kick-off our model rated a EPS win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split EPS 55%, draw 26%, Atlantis 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EPS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (EPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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