KPV Kokkola 1-3 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
14%
4.49
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.59
2-3 Goals
38%
2.27
4-5 Goals
27%
2.3
6+ Goals
13%
3.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
3%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
62%
+0.8pp
14%
Draw
19%
-4.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.7pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 22%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
3.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+32% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KPV Kokkola
3W-0D-1L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
20.07.2025 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-0 HT 0-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN3
03.05.2025 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
27.07.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-2 HT 0-1 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN3
18.05.2024 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN2
POST-MATCH KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. beat KPV Kokkola 3-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had KPV Kokkola at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, KPV Kokkola had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KPV Kokkola and 0.50 for KuPS Ak..

What was the final score of KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak.?

KPV Kokkola 1-3 KuPS Ak. in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a KPV Kokkola win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split KPV Kokkola 63%, draw 14%, KuPS Ak. 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KPV Kokkola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KPV Kokkola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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