KuPS Ak. 1-0 KPV Kokkola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.95
4-5 Goals
22%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
6.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
39%
-11.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 43%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.81/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.97
+72% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
0W-0D-3L
AWAY KPV Kokkola
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
03.05.2025 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
27.07.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-2 HT 0-1 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN3
18.05.2024 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
1-0
AWAY KPV Kokkola
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. nicked a narrow win over KPV Kokkola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KuPS Ak. as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 60% of the ball to KPV Kokkola's 40%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, KPV Kokkola led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for KuPS Ak. and 1.33 for KPV Kokkola.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola?

KuPS Ak. 1-0 KPV Kokkola in the FİN3 on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Ak. win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 45%, draw 28%, KPV Kokkola 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Ak.) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Ak.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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