Club Guarani 2-1 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+3.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.8pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.43/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.91
-7% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / +49%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 2-3 HT 1-2 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.02.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
15.10.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Recoleta 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Guarani as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Club Guarani had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 40%, shots finished 16-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Club Guarani had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Club Guarani and 1.25 for Deportivo Recoleta.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Club Guarani 2-1 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 61%, draw 20%, Deportivo Recoleta 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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