AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AS Marsa v ES Metlaoui — Team-Based Signals
AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
ES Metlaoui
TUN1B
0-0
HT 0-0
ES Metlaoui
TUN1
2-2
HT 1-0
ES Metlaoui
TUN1
AS Marsa 0-1 ES Metlaoui — Actual Match Statistics
ES Metlaoui edged past AS Marsa 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AS Marsa at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, AS Marsa had 62% of the ball to ES Metlaoui's 38%, shots finished 17-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AS Marsa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AS Marsa and 1.00 for ES Metlaoui.
What was the final score of AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui?
AS Marsa 0-1 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui?
Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 57%, draw 26%, ES Metlaoui 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AS Marsa) went the other way.