Aruba 0-1 Sint Maarten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
18%
3.0
6+ Goals
15%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aruba EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sint Maarten EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
Crosses 21.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aruba
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sint Maarten
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.76 xG 2.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
144 Passes 205
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.09.2024 Sint Maarten Sint Maarten 2-0 HT 0-0 Aruba Aruba CON
07.06.2022 Aruba Aruba 3-0 HT 3-0 Sint Maarten Sint Maarten CON
03.06.2022 Sint Maarten Sint Maarten 0-0 HT 0-0 Aruba Aruba CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aruba
0-1
AWAY Sint Maarten
0.71 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
220 Passes 249
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aruba vs Sint Maarten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sint Maarten nicked a narrow win over Aruba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Sint Maarten made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aruba had 48% of the ball to Sint Maarten's 52%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.71 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aruba and 0.67 for Sint Maarten.

What was the final score of Aruba vs Sint Maarten?

Aruba 0-1 Sint Maarten in the CONCACAF Champions League on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aruba vs Sint Maarten?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sint Maarten win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aruba 34%, draw 30%, Sint Maarten 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sint Maarten) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sint Maarten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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