Aruba vs Sint Maarten Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aruba v Sint Maarten — Team-Based Signals
Aruba vs Sint Maarten Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Aruba 0-1 Sint Maarten — Actual Match Statistics
Sint Maarten nicked a narrow win over Aruba 1-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Sint Maarten made the difference. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Aruba had 48% of the ball to Sint Maarten's 52%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.71 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aruba and 0.67 for Sint Maarten.
Aruba vs Sint Maarten Result & Final Score
Aruba 0 - 1 Sint Maarten in the CONCACAF Champions League on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aruba vs Sint Maarten Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aruba win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aruba 40%, draw 26%, Sint Maarten 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.