ABD 4-2 Jamaika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 19 Nov 2024

ABD
4-2 HT 3-0
Jamaika
📅19/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.66
6+ Goals
12%
14.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamaika EU Bookmakers 16%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
2.53/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.79
+34% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
42.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
35.4 Crosses 13.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jamaika
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.54 xG 0.97
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
498 Passes 197
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
15.11.2024 Jamaika Jamaika 0-1 HT 0-1 ABD ABD CON
22.03.2024 ABD ABD 3-1 HT 0-1 Jamaika Jamaika CON
25.06.2023 ABD ABD 1-1 HT 0-1 Jamaika Jamaika GK
17.11.2021 Jamaika Jamaika 1-1 HT 1-1 ABD ABD DKE
08.10.2021 ABD ABD 2-0 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
26.07.2021 ABD ABD 1-0 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
4-2
AWAY Jamaika
1.42 xG 1.30
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 1
640 Passes 287
93% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 2
POST-MATCH ABD vs Jamaika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD saw off Jamaika 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ABD as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, ABD had 67% of the ball to Jamaika's 33%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.42 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ABD and 0.50 for Jamaika.

What was the final score of ABD vs Jamaika?

ABD 4-2 Jamaika in the CONCACAF Champions League on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Jamaika?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ABD 56%, draw 26%, Jamaika 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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