Guatemala 3-1 Surinam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Nov 2025

📅19/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.5
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
29%
+11.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guatemala EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Surinam EU Bookmakers 48%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+70% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guatemala
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Surinam
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.31 xG 0.47
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
209 Passes 425
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2025 Surinam Surinam 1-1 HT 0-0 Guatemala Guatemala DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guatemala
3-1
AWAY Surinam
2.96 xG 0.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
322 Passes 369
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
40 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guatemala vs Surinam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guatemala beat Surinam 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Guatemala made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Guatemala had 48% of the ball to Surinam's 52%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.96 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Guatemala vs Surinam?

Guatemala 3-1 Surinam in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guatemala vs Surinam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guatemala win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guatemala 41%, draw 23%, Surinam 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guatemala) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guatemala) ✗ BTTS No
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