Panama vs El Salvador Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Panama v El Salvador — Team-Based Signals
Panama vs El Salvador Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
El Salvador
GK
2-1
HT 0-1
El Salvador
DKE
1-0
HT 1-0
Panama
DKE
1-3
HT 1-2
Panama
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-0
El Salvador
GK
Panama 3-0 El Salvador — Actual Match Statistics
Panama swept aside El Salvador 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Panama as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Panama had 69% of the ball to El Salvador's 31%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 3.41 to 0.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panama and 1.00 for El Salvador.
What was the final score of Panama vs El Salvador?
Panama 3-0 El Salvador in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Panama vs El Salvador?
Before kick-off our model rated a Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Panama 77%, draw 14%, El Salvador 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panama), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.