Haiti vs Nikaragua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haiti v Nikaragua — Team-Based Signals
Haiti vs Nikaragua Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Nikaragua
DKE
0-2
HT 0-2
Haiti
GK
Haiti 2-0 Nikaragua — Actual Match Statistics
Haiti beat Nikaragua 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Haiti as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Haiti had 51% of the ball to Nikaragua's 49%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.65 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Haiti had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Haiti and 0.00 for Nikaragua.
What was the final score of Haiti vs Nikaragua?
Haiti 2-0 Nikaragua in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haiti vs Nikaragua?
Before kick-off our model rated a Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Haiti 70%, draw 17%, Nikaragua 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haiti), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.