Farense U23 4-0 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Nov 2025

📅19/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.0pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.06/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.81
+60% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Estrela U23
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
06.11.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-2 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
21.08.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
4-0
AWAY Estrela U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 ran out comfortable winners over Estrela U23 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Farense U23 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Farense U23 had 51% of the ball to Estrela U23's 49%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Farense U23 and 1.33 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Farense U23 4-0 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 46%, draw 25%, Estrela U23 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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