Estrela U23 0-2 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.54/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.80
+7% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Farense U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-2 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
21.08.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-2
AWAY Farense U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 beat Estrela U23 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Farense U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 51% of the ball to Farense U23's 49%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estrela U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estrela U23 and 1.50 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Farense U23?

Estrela U23 0-2 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 36%, draw 28%, Farense U23 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estrela U23) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
21 Oct 2025
14:00 Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23 Analysis →