Portimonense U23 2-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
37%
3.35
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
18%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.5pp
37%
Draw
27%
+10.5pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.1pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.24/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-83% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -73%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 3-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
22.09.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
2-1
AWAY Estoril U23
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 edged past Estoril U23 2-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 37% / 33%) promised a tight game; Portimonense U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 60% of the ball to Estoril U23's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.50 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Portimonense U23 2-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 29%, draw 37%, Estoril U23 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
21 Oct 2025
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