FC Bari 1908 1-2 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 35% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.08
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
10%
6.8
X/2
15%
5.22
X/X
18%
3.89
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.34
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.24/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.87
+8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.7 Crosses 12.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
346 Passes 392
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-3 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
18.10.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
27.02.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
24.09.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.03.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
30.10.2021 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 2-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-2
AWAY Catanzaro
1.05 xG 0.75
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
285 Passes 521
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro squeezed past FC Bari 1908 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Catanzaro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 37% of the ball to Catanzaro's 63%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.05 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.67 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Catanzaro?

FC Bari 1908 1-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 32%, draw 31%, Catanzaro 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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