El Bayadh 1-2 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.76
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
11%
7.56
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.4pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.6pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.6pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.01/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+0% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Bayadh
3W-0D-3L
AWAY USM Khenchela
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
21.06.2025 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
28.12.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-2 HT 0-1 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
26.04.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
08.12.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
25.02.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
09.09.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela nicked a narrow win over El Bayadh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day USM Khenchela made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for El Bayadh and 0.83 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs USM Khenchela?

El Bayadh 1-2 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Bayadh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 39%, draw 32%, USM Khenchela 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (El Bayadh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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