Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Jan 2024

Dorking Wanderers
1-0 HT 1-0
Gateshead
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Dorking Wanderers vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
20%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 29% vs market 15.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.96
1/2
7%
21.1
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
11%
7.6
X/2
14%
4.64
X/X
11%
5.76
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
29%
2.51
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.0pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dorking Wanderers v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 53%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.35/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.37
+4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Dorking Wanderers vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gateshead
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 6-0 HT 3-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
18.04.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 0-0 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
20.08.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL

Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Gateshead — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Gateshead
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Gateshead 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 60% of the ball to Gateshead's 40%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 2.33 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Gateshead?

Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Gateshead in the England - National League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 28%, draw 22%, Gateshead 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gateshead) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
20 Jan 2024
18:00 Bromley vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
18:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
18:00 Kidderminster Harriers vs Aldershot Town Analysis →