Kidderminster Harriers 4-2 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Jan 2024

Kidderminster Harriers
4-2 HT 2-2
Aldershot Town
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Kidderminster Harriers vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.94
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
10%
4.71
X/2
13%
6.56
X/X
14%
4.74
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
4.68
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.0 — our 10% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kidderminster Harriers v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
0.98/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.52
-37% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kidderminster Harriers vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aldershot Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
30.01.2016 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
14.11.2015 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
20.01.2015 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
12.11.2014 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
18.03.2014 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL

Kidderminster Harriers 4-2 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
4-2
AWAY Aldershot Town
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers beat Aldershot Town 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kidderminster Harriers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 64% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 36%, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.67 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Aldershot Town?

Kidderminster Harriers 4-2 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 39%, draw 28%, Aldershot Town 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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