Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Jan 2024

Sheffield Wednesday
1-2 HT 0-1
Coventry
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.0
1/2
7%
23.85
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
10%
7.05
X/2
15%
4.6
X/X
11%
4.88
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.75
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield Wednesday v Coventry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +21%
1.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.23
-6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +4%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
19.0 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Coventry
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
238 Passes 346
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
27.01.2021 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
19.12.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
27.03.2010 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
17.10.2009 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
28.12.2008 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL

Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1-2
AWAY Coventry
1.56 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
281 Passes 372
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry edged past Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 45% of the ball to Coventry's 55%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.56 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sheffield Wednesday.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.17 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry?

Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Coventry in the England - Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 31%, draw 26%, Coventry 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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