Brescia 1-1 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.52
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.0
X/1
12%
4.24
X/2
8%
6.83
X/X
19%
3.28
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
6.08
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.2pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +12%
1.34/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.06
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +40%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.6 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.75 xG 0.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
406 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.11.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
15.01.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
14.08.2022 Brescia Brescia 2-0 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
1-1
AWAY Südtirol
1.14 xG 0.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
320 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia and Südtirol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Brescia had 50% of the ball to Südtirol's 50%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.14 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brescia and 0.67 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Südtirol?

Brescia 1-1 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Brescia 36%, draw 34%, Südtirol 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brescia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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