FeralpiSalo 3-0 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.86
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.46
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.5
X/X
14%
3.97
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
13%
3.9
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · X/2 at 5.5 — our 20% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 38%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.94/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.78
-100% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +113%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
23.4 Crosses 12.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Catanzaro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.23 xG 0.93
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 Passes 550
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB
29.04.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-1 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
3-0
AWAY Catanzaro
1.82 xG 1.32
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
217 Passes 539
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo swept aside Catanzaro 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day FeralpiSalo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 33% of the ball to Catanzaro's 67%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.82 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FeralpiSalo and 2.50 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Catanzaro?

FeralpiSalo 3-0 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 32%, draw 28%, Catanzaro 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Catanzaro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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