Spezia vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Spezia
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTA
2-2
HT 2-1
Cremonese
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
3-2
HT 0-1
Cremonese
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
Cremonese
İTB
Spezia 0-1 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics
Cremonese edged past Spezia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Spezia had 45% of the ball to Cremonese's 55%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.05 to 1.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spezia and 1.50 for Cremonese.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Cremonese?
Spezia 0-1 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Cremonese?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Spezia 29%, draw 27%, Cremonese 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.