Torre Neapolis 1-2 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.7pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.3pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-12.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Casertana
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Casertana Casertana 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
11.03.2024 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
05.11.2023 Casertana Casertana 1-0 HT 1-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
27.02.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-1 HT 1-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
01.11.2020 Casertana Casertana 2-4 HT 1-2 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
1-2
AWAY Casertana
53% Ball Possession 47%
2 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana edged past Torre Neapolis 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 53% of the ball to Casertana's 47%, shots finished 2-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Torre Neapolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Torre Neapolis and 0.80 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Casertana?

Torre Neapolis 1-2 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 24%, draw 32%, Casertana 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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