Torre Neapolis 1-0 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.18/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.97
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Casertana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
05.11.2023 Casertana Casertana 1-0 HT 1-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
27.02.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-1 HT 1-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
01.11.2020 Casertana Casertana 2-4 HT 1-2 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
1-0
AWAY Casertana
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torre Neapolis nicked a narrow win over Casertana 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Torre Neapolis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 41% of the ball to Casertana's 59%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torre Neapolis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torre Neapolis and 1.33 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Casertana?

Torre Neapolis 1-0 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torre Neapolis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 37%, draw 28%, Casertana 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torre Neapolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torre Neapolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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