Picerno 5-1 Nuova Monterosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.87
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.41/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.31
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 1-3 HT 1-2 Picerno Picerno İTC
02.04.2023 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 1-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
30.11.2022 Picerno Picerno 1-0 HT 0-0 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
26.02.2022 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 1-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
20.10.2021 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 0-0 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
5-1
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Nuova Monterosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno cruised past Nuova Monterosi 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Picerno as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Picerno had 60% of the ball to Nuova Monterosi's 40%, shots finished 16-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Picerno had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Picerno and 0.60 for Nuova Monterosi.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Nuova Monterosi?

Picerno 5-1 Nuova Monterosi in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Nuova Monterosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Picerno 45%, draw 31%, Nuova Monterosi 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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