Renate 0-1 Pro Sesto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.55
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Sesto EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.13/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.01
-15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pro Sesto
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2023 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 1-1 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
14.05.2023 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 1-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
19.03.2023 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
19.11.2022 Renate Renate 3-4 HT 2-0 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
05.10.2022 Renate Renate 3-1 HT 1-0 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTCK
29.01.2022 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 1-4 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
0-1
AWAY Pro Sesto
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Pro Sesto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Sesto squeezed past Renate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 34% — and on the day Pro Sesto made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Renate had 59% of the ball to Pro Sesto's 41%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Renate and 1.33 for Pro Sesto.

What was the final score of Renate vs Pro Sesto?

Renate 0-1 Pro Sesto in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Pro Sesto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Renate 40%, draw 25%, Pro Sesto 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Renate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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