Fiorenzuola 2-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 52%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.80/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.52
-24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +79%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorenzuola
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorenzuola
2-1
AWAY Atalanta II
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorenzuola vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorenzuola nicked a narrow win over Atalanta II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fiorenzuola had 50% of the ball to Atalanta II's 50%, shots finished 15-21.

What was the final score of Fiorenzuola vs Atalanta II?

Fiorenzuola 2-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorenzuola vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fiorenzuola 26%, draw 26%, Atalanta II 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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