Juve Stabia 2-1 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.74
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.44/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.07
-1% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Taranto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Taranto Taranto 0-2 HT 0-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
12.02.2023 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
15.10.2022 Taranto Taranto 2-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
03.04.2022 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
29.11.2021 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 3-2 HT 2-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
2-1
AWAY Taranto
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia nicked a narrow win over Taranto 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 55% of the ball to Taranto's 45%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Juve Stabia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juve Stabia and 0.80 for Taranto.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Taranto?

Juve Stabia 2-1 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 42%, draw 30%, Taranto 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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