Cesena 2-0 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.44
No
50%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.72
6+ Goals
11%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
63%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
2.12/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.93
+26% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gubbio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
11.03.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
05.11.2022 Cesena Cesena 3-0 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
22.12.2021 Gubbio Gubbio 4-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTC
29.08.2021 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
31.03.2021 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
2-0
AWAY Gubbio
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena saw off Gubbio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cesena had 44% of the ball to Gubbio's 56%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cesena and 1.17 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Gubbio?

Cesena 2-0 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cesena 58%, draw 22%, Gubbio 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✗ Over 2.5
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