Livingston 1-1 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.35
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
16%
6.15
X/2
9%
5.42
X/X
15%
4.28
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
19%
3.58
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.22/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.07
-14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 68%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.8 Crosses 26.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
196 Passes 247
61% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2026 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKK
20.12.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
17.02.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
25.11.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
02.09.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
01.04.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-0 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-1
AWAY St. Mirren
1.43 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
360 Passes 257
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Livingston vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston and St. Mirren couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Livingston had 56% of the ball to St. Mirren's 44%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.43 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Livingston and 1.17 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Livingston vs St. Mirren?

Livingston 1-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Livingston 37%, draw 27%, St. Mirren 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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