St. Mirren vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Livingston — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Livingston
İKP
1-1
HT 0-0
St. Mirren
İKP
3-0
HT 3-0
Livingston
İKP
1-1
HT 0-0
St. Mirren
İKP
2-1
HT 0-0
Livingston
İKP
St. Mirren 1-0 Livingston — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren squeezed past Livingston 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, St. Mirren had 58% of the ball to Livingston's 42%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 2.10 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold St. Mirren's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Mirren and 0.67 for Livingston.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Livingston?
St. Mirren 1-0 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Livingston?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 46%, draw 30%, Livingston 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.