St. Mirren vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Mirren v Livingston — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 1-0 Livingston — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren squeezed past Livingston 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in St. Mirren's favour, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 2.10 to 0.24 — on chances created, St. Mirren won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for St. Mirren against 0.67 for Livingston.
St. Mirren vs Livingston Result & Final Score
St. Mirren 1 - 0 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Mirren vs Livingston Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 50%, draw 28%, Livingston 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.